The median 2010 Toyota Alphard in the Canadian market sits at $18,800. That's your anchor. If a seller is asking well above it, the burden is on them to justify why.
Most listings land between $17,500 and $20,000. That $2,500 spread is fairly tight, which tells you the market has a clear sense of what this year is worth. Anything under $17,500 deserves a closer look at condition and history, not an automatic yes. Anything over $20,000 needs to earn the premium with paperwork, low kilometres, or a spotless record.
What the mileage tells you
The typical 2010 Alphard on offer has about 84,882 km on the clock. For a vehicle this age that's on the lower side, so a car sitting near that figure and priced near the $18,800 median is doing what you'd expect. If you find one much higher on distance but still asking top of the range, push back.
We've flagged 2 deals on this year in the last 90 days. These are cars that priced below where the numbers say they should. Two in a quarter isn't a flood, so when one surfaces it's worth moving on the conversation rather than sitting on it.
Practical read: treat $18,800 as fair, aim below it, and let the seller tell you why any car should cost more.
Numbers reflect live listings across Canada over the last 90 days, filtered for outliers. Data as of . Prices in CAD.